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Freitag 17 Mai 19:17 Uhr | |
Hi people,
there is DOUBLE JACKPOT for this sunday in Jægersro!! The plan is to play a V6! 5 euro per share. I will do the studying today. I can't use too much time studying it, have other things to do, but we have hood chances.
There are several pitfalls in the V6. In the Duca race, people think Duca can't win. He can win, but weak chance because old, one eye, same jockey as last time who did awful. Now, people also think the one to go for is Pusjkin/Ayani. But Pusjkin was 3rd best in his generation - in others words so so. A horse that can win, but not to be the one to beat. He has a limit to his speed too. Now, Ayani is 4 years old. 4 years old dont win this race. If that isbt enough, the horse won in a bad time the Vöter race last year, and is more a stayer horse than miler. This race is for the strongest and fastest miler! The one I have been waiting for runs in the same race, Stroxx Carlras. Best of his generation, ways ahead of Pusjkin, and is the only horse that can beat Duca in his best version, at his fastest. The outsider is Chianti. Joker horse that was sick/hurt when it mattered as a 3 year old. Comes with a good CV, has won in the track etc. Remember, we want an established older horse that is both strong and fast and is a miler for this race. And he's exactly that. Never been measured vs this elite, but this elite has several weaknesses, all of them. Hence, pitfall race.
and well, other pitfalls too and will do some studying and come back. |
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Freitag 17 Mai 19:27 Uhr | |
TG ist offen |
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Freitag 17 Mai 22:16 Uhr | |
Aktuell 93 Anteile |
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Samstag 18 Mai 22:32 Uhr | |
Hi people.
I've done the studying. Still not completely ready with the last one but I got a prognosis.
We have the following, in terms of A, B and C horses. Huge pitfall races are in my eyes races 3 and 5. It's the sprint elite race, and the miler elite race. Whereas we have both favorites in R3, we don't in R5. They are instead place as B horses, just in case. In R2, we have both the favorite and a low % horse. But this low % horse is reliable, and is in form. Also knows the track well! In theory I am considering adding more B horses in R1 because we have a single A horse. But if the horse is in form (first run this year, so impossible to know), it should win easily. R4 is an all race, no use in studying it. Anything can win and it's horse lotto. It's too soon for a derby level hopeful horse to show itself and get tired for better races later. And this race is for "bad" horses.
Now for the bad news. The swedish tips called out our horse in last... Atm being 2nd favorite... But they missed our gem in R3, the sprint race. Why I still have four horses as A? Any of them can win... It's more about jockey, form (kept hidden from us plebeians) and strategies.
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Samstag 18 Mai 22:36 Uhr | |
Aktuell 189 Anteile |
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Sonntag 19 Mai 01:53 Uhr | |
The ideal ticket i see for us so far is 1519 euros. We have 945 euros so far. I will do some cutting. The last few years there hasn't been that much payout, but the favorites have won both the sprinter and miler elite race (except 2021). We would be betting on both two first favorites in those two races to lose, and a low % in the all race mostly. Worst case scenario, it should still payout 8.000-1 like in 2021 with an 8% winner in the miler elite race. Times 2,5 from the V6 ticket, would still be 20.000-1. Our ticket at the moment (~945 euros) is looking at 8.500-1 (because of 0,12 euro per row).
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Sonntag 19 Mai 05:32 Uhr | |
Sechs Ministechen mit vielen klar abgegrenzten Fackeln. Rennen 4 wird als Alle-Rennen gesehen. Man braucht halt Glück, die richtigen longshots zu erwischen. Zurzeit wird ein System 3 aus 5 A-Pferden favorisiert. Momentan sind 13 A-Pferde vorhanden, darunter ein paar 1-3%er. Nur drei Pferde der Karte würden nicht berücksichtigt. Bei Doppel-JP kann sich auch ein kleines eigenes V6-Ticket lohnen, auf dem man mit den Fackeln aus Rennen 1 bis 3 beginnt... Mal sehen, was die Nichtstarter noch beeinflussen. |
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Sonntag 19 Mai 07:45 Uhr | |
ab 3%
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Sonntag 19 Mai 08:04 Uhr | |
I really hope you reach the goal regarding the needed budget. Your tickets are one of the few where a TG can win big money. Instead of spending cash on the mostly useless V6 at trotting where the medium payout is a cup of coffee everyone should feel invited to spend more than usual on your expertise of the galopper scene. |
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Sonntag 19 Mai 11:11 Uhr | |
Thank you, we have reached the quota. I will send and post the ticket here soon! Crossed fingers for best payout!
Unfortunately one of our low % (best upset choixe) in the sprinter got scratched. But with our current quota, that also makes it possible to choose another A horse in another race. |
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Sonntag 19 Mai 11:12 Uhr | |
>2% |
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Sonntag 19 Mai 12:05 Uhr | |
Omg, I had posted the tickets but I pressed cancel.. again.
Ok, tickets are sent, waiting for official response. Rules as follows for main ticket:
3 yellow + 3 blue
We had left over money, so I played with B's in R1 in case we started wrong.
https://www.radsoft.eu/de/totopro/index.php?link=game-link-xv&c=768883&s=a46ec7d6 https://www.radsoft.eu/de/totopro/?link=game-link-xv&c=768884&s=9dff4d7d
https://www.radsoft.eu/de/totopro/index.php?link=game-link-xv&c=768885&s=ace58c67
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Sonntag 19 Mai 12:12 Uhr | |
Sind die Tickets angekommen...? |
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Sonntag 19 Mai 12:29 Uhr | |
Tickets were played. Deadheat race 1 between 1 yellow and 1 blue. |
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Sonntag 19 Mai 12:30 Uhr | |
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Sonntag 19 Mai 12:31 Uhr | |
4. Rennen Nr. 2 – Fizzibality Reiter: Rene Koplik – Gewicht: 61,0 Kg.
4. Rennen Nr. 6 – Kiko Reiter: Rene Piechulek
4. Rennen Nr. 10 Impossiblecometrue – Gewicht: 53,5 kg. |
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Sonntag 19 Mai 12:47 Uhr | |
Berlin-Hoppegarten – Pfingstsonntag 19. Mai 2024 Reiterwechsel 8. Rennen Nr. 7 Love Me – Reiter: Leon Wolff |
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Sonntag 19 Mai 12:50 Uhr | |
Berlin-Hoppegarten – Pfingstsonntag 19. Mai 2024 Reiterwechsel 7. Rennen Nr. 2 Egina – Reiter: Leon Wolff Reiterwechsel 8. Rennen Nr. 7 Love Me – Reiter: Leon Wolff |
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Sonntag 19 Mai 12:59 Uhr | |
So the 162 euro ticket wasn't played. Technical issues, the main ticket was played without any issues. |
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Sonntag 19 Mai 13:39 Uhr | |
Luck not on our side. In our All race, the favorite wins and in 2nd place, the least played. Never had a chance though, favorite secured the race. |
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Sonntag 19 Mai 13:44 Uhr | |
Guys, we need all the luck possible now. Ticket can still give a nice payout!! Look at the odds for Stroxx Carlras!! Even Chianti!!
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