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GS75 - Swedish Derby Day (Gallop) TG-Ticket by me, Galopptips.eu Aim = Solo winner 5 mill sek --- 2022-07-17
Autor Beitrag
Dienstag 12 Juli 05:43 Uhr
author

Galopptips.eu

Themen: 21
Beiträge: 217

Hi, I am wondering about the interest to join me on this ticket. The GS75 costs 0,12 euro per row as opposed to the normally 0,06 euro per row of the V75. Lanti LantiAndris Andris , and Rumpel Teazer  Rumpel Teazer  seemed eager at least? Please confirm.

 

I would of course offer not writing tips on my site for this particular GS75 as a sign of good faith. I do however, would like to discuss the ticket with anyone trusted and of renown here so as to not mess up the ticket. This way I would also refrain from having to share my picks publically. The program is not out yet but from going through the list of horses found here, I actually think there's a good chance there might be no winner or only 1 winner, us.

 

I was talking to profiler profiler and the ticket would of course not be 20 k euros expensive, like for the big 4/6 TG's I have been part of here and you guys often play, but he mentioned that a ticket for 5-8 k euros would be something reasonable. I scoffed at that because it seemed like a lot, but in the end the safe-ish ticket would be around 4,2 combinations so 5,04 k euros. It's a pretty expensive ticket even shared, so I would like to know what you people think about that. If I am to aim for something of that size, or increase the risk and lower it to under 2,0 k combinations (2,04 k euros), or even go for less.

For comparison and to show my experience with big tickets, the most I have played for before, and that was in a V64 (Not even V6), has been ~ 0,45 k euros, a ticket I actually ended up winning. And was actually the time I almost ended up playing the ticket here.

 

Anyways, thanks for reading, and please share your views. The raceday is this sunday!!

Dienstag 12 Juli 08:01 Uhr
author

Jurjo

Themen: 32
Beiträge: 1154

You will have absolutely no problems in collecting the amount of 5 to 8K. That's a 100% certain.

Let's do it! 👍

Mittwoch 13 Juli 13:49 Uhr
author

Galopptips.eu

Themen: 21
Beiträge: 217

Then I will start making the ticket. I will have a final analysis by friday. There might be scratches still by then but I will have a plan B and C for sunday.

Program

In general, there should be 3 top favorites for sunday. If all of them win, the dream is over. I think two of these have a decent chance of losing and is what I am mainly aiming for with the ticket. But so everyone is informed, if these 3 favorites win then it will be hard to get back the investment - not impossible.

Historically, in this day, many favorites win and the Derby is OPEN, but I have this feeling it will not be easy this year, like in 2019, but in that year the favorite won in the Derby, so the payout stayed at ~400.000 kr. Chances are the favorite doesn't win this Derby, though it has an ok-ish chance.

I will now upload the results from years 2017-2121 for this raceday. Program for this year.

Year Pot Payout
2017 kr 6 953 465,00 Jackpot
2018 kr 5 423 652,00 kr 2 386,00
2019 kr 7 732 636,00 kr 396 968,00
2020 kr 12 949 842,00 kr 896,00
2021 kr 7 010 671,00 kr 156 722,00

 

 

 

Donnerstag 14 Juli 10:30 Uhr
author

Hans Christian Panny

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TG ist offen

Zur Tippgemeinschaft

 

Freitag 15 Juli 07:17 Uhr
author

trotto de

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Freitag 15 Juli 20:57 Uhr
author

Hans Christian Panny

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Samstag 16 Juli 06:28 Uhr
author

Galopptips.eu

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Hi, I apologize for not replying or being on time with the analysis. Races are complicated and I have been struggling a bit on how to compose the ticket. I also wondered how to do the analysis and giving it out to you without making it public. Later today you can find it in a private link I will post here. Which everyone can access though, but not everyone has access to the forum.

Samstag 16 Juli 06:59 Uhr
author

Galopptips.eu

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This is the preliminary ticket. Not final.

Samstag 16 Juli 08:37 Uhr
author

Hans Christian Panny

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Samstag 16 Juli 08:38 Uhr
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Jurjo

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Galopptips.eu schreibt:

This is the preliminary ticket. Not final.

How many yellow horses must win?

Samstag 16 Juli 08:41 Uhr
author

profiler

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Beiträge: 1266

2/4 derzeit

Samstag 16 Juli 08:44 Uhr
author

KillerQueen

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It's better to concentrate on analysis than entertaining people. This is a waste of time you can better use elsewhere. Calculating the final ticket so it fits to the budget once the selling is over will give you the next headache as the time then feels amazingly short. Don't worry about any lack of information as there is no one in here who has any idea about the horses and their strengths except you. Everyone buying shares trusts you big time and even if you fail for whatever reason no one will ever give you the feeling of having done a bad job. At the moment you send the final version per mail you are the only one who should be happy with the system regardless of how many horses you have marked or how many favorites you have left out. The thought "yes, that's the way I want it" helps even if you end up losing.

This is taken from my own experience and I hope it eases your stress being captain for the first time a little bit.

Additionaly I want to mention we are all used to losing money so you can only win and make the crowd happy. No fear needed regarding the amount in case you feel burdened by it. Just do your thing 

Samstag 16 Juli 11:12 Uhr
author

High Roller

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The last post should become Open TG Guide.

It couldn't have been written better

Samstag 16 Juli 14:00 Uhr
author

Cotopaxi

Themen: 13
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High Roller schreibt:

The last post should become Open TG Guide.

It couldn't have been written better

oja, besser wäre simultan auf deutsch... weil so können es ev. Angesprochene nicht lesen (es gilt natürlich  die Unmutsverschuldung..oder so..)🤠

Samstag 16 Juli 19:45 Uhr
author

Hans Christian Panny

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Samstag 16 Juli 22:59 Uhr
author

Hans Christian Panny

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Sonntag 17 Juli 07:21 Uhr
author

Galopptips.eu

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trotto de trotto de  I sent an email about the ticket that I would like answered. Thanks.

Sonntag 17 Juli 09:22 Uhr
author

Galopptips.eu

Themen: 21
Beiträge: 217

Ok, here is the first update after scratch. Tried to keep the longshots alive in the ticket.

Rules:

1- 4/7 Yellow that are my A horses.
2- Blue are B horses
3- Max 1 Red, that represents C horses.

Edit: There are several longshots in yellow, A horse.

Geoffrey brother to Nascetta that won this race two years ago

Numeira actually has some dirt pedigree

Save The King is a bullet in front with Blinkers, let's hope it runs dirt

The ticket it adaptable, depending on the pool.

I have reserve horses in case the pool gets bigger. Might even push a C horse to B horse. I cut Red (C horses) if the pool is smaller.

 

The odds at 9 am. Swedish Pool, 820k swedish kr. A's marked.

Sonntag 17 Juli 09:27 Uhr
author

Hans Christian Panny

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Sonntag 17 Juli 09:40 Uhr
author

profiler

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4% - 5% - 3% - 2% - 2%  sind feine A's...fingers crossed

 

Sonntag 17 Juli 10:31 Uhr
author

Cotopaxi

Themen: 13
Beiträge: 1723

Favorit GS75-304 now is scratched... 🤠

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